Trends in Russia’s GDP Growth under Environmental Constraints

The paper illustrates an approach to GDP growth in the context of ecological economy. subject research is establishment interdependence state ecology environment and results human activity. aim study determine presence or absence a relationship between pollutants each type environmental level economic development country, represented by per capita indicators. relevance due ecologically unbalanced GDP, which accompanied increase disproportions volume emitted extractive, processing, agricultural infrastructure sectors economy, conditions life deterioration “ecological quality” environment, limits possibilities for further capital. scientific novelty lies mathematical models, methods, numerical algorithms assessing analyzing air, water, pollution under influence country’s growth. Methods used: empirical statistical analysis, building regression algorithmic predictions, time trends, etc. authors based methodology substantiating method constraints on Russian economy 2000–2018. Results : have determined set indicators reflecting trends changes Russia (carbon dioxide emissions, wastewater, production, consumption waste) their with development, predetermine long-term social, environmental, energy consequences. An algorithm has been developed substantiate restrictions Russia’s period modified Kaya equation, through pollutant capita, resources, industrial production checked. In accordance growth, forecast was according scenarios 10–40% showed inevitability implementing plan prevent Russia. It concluded that must promote low-carbon policies, reduce waste, over next few decades achieve sustainable development. country faced task moving away from nature-destroying thereby saving natural capital, minimizing costs eliminating negative consequences technogenic future.